Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome back for another week! Between the Fed’s large purchase cycles driving up prices and rapid prepayment speeds driving down realized yields, agency MBS have been a relatively unattractive investment since the start of the pandemic. However, the number of homeowners refinancing their mortgages is now declining, so prepayment speeds are declining as well. The MBA’s refinance application index is down 36% from it’s peak in January, and likewise, FNMA 30yr. aggregate prepayment speeds dropped 16% in May after seeing a 21% decrease in April. Overall, the future is looking brighter for investment in agency MBS. Prepayment speeds will likely continue their current descent, and eventually the Fed will taper their MBS purchases, bringing prices down.
In the bond market today, the 10yr. T-Note is -1/32 to yield 1.56% and the FNMA 30yr. Fixed-rate 2.5% is trading at $103-16+ to yield just under 1.72% with a +91 spread over the treasury curve. Thanks for reading! Call or email us if you want to get involved! Have a productive Monday!
Cherry Picks
10 Year Fixed
15 Year Fixed
20 Year Fixed
30 Year Fixed
Agency CMBS
Agency CMO – 3 Year
Agency CMO – 5 Year
Agency CMO – Long End
Jim Tait is a registered representative with and offers securities through Hanover Securities, Inc. (Hanover), Member FINRA & SIPC. Although this information has been obtained from sources we believe reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it may be incomplete or condensed. This is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Securities that may be shown are subject to availability and changes in price. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Changes in any assumptions may have a material effect on projected results.
This information from Hanover Securities is for your private use and does not constitute an offer or solicitation with respect to the sale of any security. This information was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable but we do not represent that it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. Certain transactions may give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. This information was based on current market indicators which may vary over time. We may from time to time buy or sell, or have long or short positions in securities identical or related to those identified herein.
Although this information has been obtained from sources we believe reliable, we do not guarantee its accuracy, and it may be incomplete or condensed. This is for information purposes only and is not intended as an offer or solicitation with respect to the purchase or sale of any security. Loans and/or Securities which may be shown are subject to availability and changes in price. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Changes in any assumptions may have a material effect on projected results. This information from Banes Capital Group (BCG) and/or Hanover Securities is for your private use, and was obtained from sources we believe to be reliable. However, we do not represent that this information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. This information is for institutional investors only, and as such certain transactions may give rise to substantial risk and are not suitable for all investors. This information was based on current market indicators which may vary over time. We may from time to time buy or sell, or have long or short positions in loans or securities identical or related to those identified herein.
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